Thursday, April 26, 2007

Quarter Bet Watch

In search of some statistics to support a viable business case I searched the web and came across a 2006 prediction by Reuben Steiger, former Linden Lab evangelist and now CEO of one of SL's most succesfull contractors, Millions of Us.
His best bet for 2007:

Well, right now (april 2007) is 5.6 million registered users, so he's only off by 2 million. In the graph you´ll see a conservative guess (blue) and a wild guess (red). There should be a (green) factual line added that picks up momentum december 2006 and aims (hence no longer factual) for 7.5 million by July 2007.

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Blogger Aleister Kronos said...

I recall reading projections(around Xmas'06) of 6 million by end of June, 2007. At the current rate, we should hit 6 million this weekend - 2 months early.

I have also heard informal figures used by some building firms for the number of residents at year end. These projections are for 13-15 million. It will be interesting to see how close this is!

Thursday, April 26, 2007 10:01:00 AM  
Blogger Reuben said...

Wow! I remember catching a bunch of flak at the time for being crazy and overoptimistic. Nice to see how wrong I was and on what side of the curve.

Saturday, April 28, 2007 10:31:00 PM  

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